Hawaii Gov. Dem. Abercrombie wins open seat, vacated by Linda Lingle. –75.
Undecided Governor races: Connecticut (potential +1), Repub. Foley leads by 3%, with 87% in. Florida (potential –1), Repub. Sink leads by 1% with 99% in. Minnesota open seat (potential –1), Mark Dayton leads by 1% with 90% in. Oregon (potential +1), Repub. Dudley leads by 2% with 81% in.
Undecided Senate races: Washington (potential +1), Murray (D, F) leads by 1% with 60% in. Colorado (potential +.5), Bennet (D, C) trails by 1% with 77% in. Alaska, Murkowski leading, with 51% in; all candidates are A-rated, but Republican Miller would probably be a more energetic activist.
Ill. Gov. Anti-gun incumbent Quinn hanging on, with 99% counted. Will make passage of licensed carry difficult.
Colorado State House of Representatives: Repubs. take control. So re-districting will be bi-partisan. Bad news for U.S. Rep. Ed Perlmutter (D, F), who needs a carefully-drawn district to win in 2012.
From Ben Smith @ Politico: Repubs. now fully control redistricting in Ind., Penn., Ohio, Ala., Mich, Wisc. My view: RKBA effects unclear, because all those state have lots of strongly pro-2d Amendment Dems. But probably a net plus for RKBA.
Wash. 2. John Koster (R, A) unseats Rick Larsen (D, B-).
Big race on the cusp. Less than 8,000 votes separate Illinois Gov. candidates, with 97% in. If Republican Brady wins, Illinois will get concealed carry.
Ariz. right to hunt and fish: Nearly 90% of precincts in. Losing by 13%. I project defeat.
Minn. 8. Chip Cravaack (A, R) unseats long-term incumbent Jim Oberstar (D, B+). +.25
Conn. Gov. retraction: With 81% of precincts reporting, Republican Tom Foley leads Dem. Dan Malloy by 3%. Possible pro-gun pickup.
Colo. Atty. Gen. Repub. John Suthers re-elected. Fends off challenger who attacked him for filing amicus briefs against gun control and health control.
Ohio Atty. Gen. Former U.S. Sen. Repub. Mike DeWine wins. Setback for 2d Amendment.
Ariz. 5. David Schweikart (R, A) beats incumbent Harry Mitchell (R, C-). +.5
Mich. 7. Tim Walburg (R, A) ousts Mark Schauer (R, B-). +.25.
N.Y. 19. Nan Hayworth (R, A) defeats incumbent John Hall (D, F). +1
N.Y. 13. Mike McMahon (D, F) ousted by Mike Grimm (R, A). +1
The official name of R.I. is the “State of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations.” Voters defeated a proposal to remove the second half of the name. As Brunonian, I am delighted.
N.H. 2. Charlie Bass (R, A) wins open seat vacated by Paul Hode (D, A-).
R.I. Gov. Independent Lincoln Chafee wins open seat. –1
Wash. 3. Open seat of retiring Brian Baird (B in 2008). Won by Jaime Herrera (R, A). +.25
Nev. Senate: Reid wins. Given a Democratic Senate, very good new for gun owners. Without Reid, the Majority Leader would have been Charles Schumer or Richard Durbin, either of them would be the first Majority Leader who was not only anti-gun, but strongly motivated and well-informed on the issue. Presuming that Reid is re-elected as Majority Leader, this means that both houses of Congress will have pro-gun leadership.
Ill. Sen. Mark Kirk (R, F) wins. Sponsored an “assault weapons” ban in the current Congress. Will be only strongly anti-gun Senator in GOP caucus. At least he’s a staunch critic of United Nations malfeasance.
Right to hunt and fish trailing in Arizona, 56–44. One million votes counted so far.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R, B) ousts Ted Strickland (D, A+). Kasich voted wrong on the “assault weapon” ban in 1994, now claims to have seen the light. -.25
Ark. 2. Tim Griffin (R, A) takes open seat vacated by Vic Snyder (D, F in 2008). +15.25
Ohio 15. Steve Stivers (R, A) takes the seat from Mary Jo Kilroy (D, F). +1
Ohio 1. Steve Chabot (R, A) ousts Steve Driehaus (D, D). +1
Kan. 3. Dennis Moore (D, F in 2008) is retiring. His wife, Stephene Moore (?) was defeated by Kevin Yoder (R, A). +1
Conn. Gov. Dan Malloy (D, F) wins. Replaces term-limited Jodi Rell (R, F).
Penn. Senate. Pat Toomey (R, A) wins. Replaces inconsistent Arlen Specter. +.5
Great idea now circulating on Twitter: Replace Eric Holder with Russ Feingold.
Mo. 4. House Armed Services Chair Ike Skelton (D, A) defeated by Vicky Jo Hartzler (R, A).
Fla. 8. Allen West (R, A) unseats Ron Klein (D, F). +1
N.C. 2. Incumbent Bob Etheridge (D, D) narrowly beaten by Renee Ellmers (R, A). +1
Cal. Gov. Jerry Brown (D, D+) defeats Meg Whitman (R, C+). No net change from outgoing Gov. Schwarznegger.
Ill. 14. Randy Hultgren (R, A-) vs. unseates Bill Foster (D, D). +1.
Penn. 8: Repub. Mike Fitzpatrick (R, A) ousts Patrick Murphy (D+). Congratulations to the Snowflakes team! +1
S.C. 5: House Budget Chairman John Spratt (D, D) defeated by Mick Mulvaney (R, A). Good for 2d Amendment, and the public fisc. +1
Ill. 17. Bobby Schilling (R, A) takes the seat from Phil Hare (D, F). +1
Louisiana. Joseph Cao (R, C) unseated by Cedric Richmond (D, F). First net loss of the evening. -.5
Republicans take State House of Representives in Pennsylvania. Good news for RKBA.
South Carolina and Arkansas Constitutions: Right to hunt and fish amendments have been declared winners. Still awaiting results from similar amendment in Arizona.
Penn. 7. Joe Sestak’s open seat is taken by Pat Meehan (R, A). +1
Kansas Constitution: “Shall the state amend its Constitution to include an individual right to bear arms?” With 19% of precincts reporting, the question leads 87% to 13%. I project that it will win.
Wisc. Sen. Ron Johnson (R, A) unseats Russ Feingold (D, C). Feingold has been a great leader on many civil liberties issues. I hope he finds a way to stay on the national scene. +.5
N.J. 3. Jon Runyan (R, A) unseats John Adler (D, D). +1
Wisc. Gov. Scott Walker (R, A) wins open seat. Very important. Means that Wisconsin has a very good chance of enacting licensed carry next year.
Penn. 3. Kathy Dahlkemper (D, C) unseated by Mike Kelly (R, A). +.5
Tennessee Constitution. With over half the precincts in, the right to hunt and fish amendment to the state constitution is leading 90% to 10%. I hereby declare it a winner.
Penn. Gov. Tom Corbett (R, A) wins, replacing the retiring Ed Rendell. +1
N.H. 1. Frank Guinta (R, A) unseats Carol Shea-Porter (D, F).
Mass. Gov. Deval Patrick re-elected. Unfortunate.
Kan. Gov. Sam Brownback (R, A) wins. Replaces the Lt. Gov. who succeeded Sebelius and who did not run. +5.
Fla. 2. Alan Southerland (R, A) beats incumbent Alan Boyd (D, D).
N.D. Sen. John Hoeven (R, A) takes seat held by retiring Byron Dorgan (D, D+). +1
Mich. Gov. Rick Snyder (R, refused to answer NRA questionaire) defeats F-rated Dem.
Tenn. Gov. Mike Haslam (R, B-) defeats Mike McWherter (D, C-).
Ark. Gov. Incumbent Mike Beebe (D, A-) beats Jim Keet (R, B+).
Fla. 8. Daniel Webster (R, A) defeats Alan Grayson (D, B). +.25.
W.V. Sen. Manchin (D, A) wins. Takes the seat of the late Robert Byrd. +1
Conn. Sen. Blumenthal (D, F) wins, replacing Chris Dodd. Will be even more of an anti-gun leader.
Ark. Sen. Boozman (R, A) defeats Blanche Lincoln (D, D+). +1.
Fla. 24. Suzanne Kosmas (D, F-rated) loses. +1.
N.H. Gov. Lynch (Dem, C-rated by NRA) re-elected.
Fla. Rubio (R) win. Keeps seat pro-gun.
Missouri. Blunt (R) defeats Carnahan. Keeps seat in pro-gun hands.
N.H. Ayotte (R) wins. Improvement over retiring Judd Gregg (R). +.5
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats former Handgun Control, Inc., board member Lee Fisher. Will replace usually-anti George Voinovich. +1
Kentucky: Rand Paul wins. Replaces retiring Jim Bunning. Will probably be more of a leader on the issue than Bunning was.
Indiana. Dan Coats (R) wins. When previously in the Senate, was sometimes good, but not always. Dem. Brad Ellsworth would have been better. Retiring Sen. Evan Bayh was always bad. +5.
Vermont. Pat Leahy (D) re-elected. Much better to have him as chair or ranking member of Judiciary than Herb Kohl.
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